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n committees protocol that could keep Ohio State in the top four even if Penn State -- which beat the Buckeyes -- go

in Team 28.06.2018 07:30
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Using an advanced, metrics-driven computer algorithm as a foundation, Warren Sharp incorporates his in-depth research into game theory, efficiency, play-calling success rates and scheme utilization to uncover inefficiencies in the NFL and college football totals market.Every Thursday during the football season, he will share with Chalk?his top totals bets for the upcoming college football weekend.?Warren will offer leans or plays, with the plays divided based on strength between full recommendations and split recommendations (with split recommendations suggested at half the weight as a full recommendation).2016 record:Full recommendations: 2-0 (100 percent) Split recommendations: 1-1 (50 percent)2015 recordFull recommendations: 16-7 Split recommendations: 9-11 2015 final weighted record: 20.5-12.5Here are his top Week 5 college football totals bets:Florida State Seminoles at Miami HurricanesTotal: 64This is a fascinating study of diametrically opposed competition so far this year. 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Its also the final week of the regular season and the top five teams in the College Football Playoff rankings face challenges from their biggest rivals.With a week to go until the final rankings, keep up to date with the latest for the playoff contenders.Dinich projects the committees top sixClemson showed no signs of a letdown against rival South Carolina and is headed to the ACC championship game where it will face Virginia Tech. The Tigers should be a lock for the top four if they win the ACC title, along with Alabama.AlabamaOhio StateClemsonWashingtonMichiganWisconsinPac-12 states its caseThe Pac-12 punctuated the regular season with the best possible results, as wins by Washington and Colorado set up a conference championship game that will feature two top-10 teams and give the winner one final boost to its playoff resume. The good news for Colorado is that the Big Ten is guaranteed to have a two-loss conference champ. The bad news? Ohio State is still in the mix after knocking off No. 3 Michigan, so the Pac-12 winner must impress the committee more than the one-loss Buckeyes or the Big Ten champ. The Pac-12 winners resume will be put under a microscope, and selection committee chair Kirby Hocutt said last week that the group has hesitated to rank Washington any higher because of its weak strength of schedule. That could change, though, with a league title against a ranked opponent.Ohio State, Penn State wins wreak havoc on CFPPenn State clinched the Big Tens East division with its win over Michigan State and Michigans loss to Ohio State, pitting the Nittany Lions against Wisconsin in the Big Ten championship game. At 11-1, Ohio State still makes a great case to finish in the top four because it has four wins against ranked opponents, but its still going to need some help because it lost the head-to-head result to Penn State. If the Nittany Lions win the Big Ten, they would have the edge over Ohio State in two of the committees tiebreakers they consult when resumes are comparable. PSU doesnt have the league title yet, though, so a gap will likely remain between it and OSU on Tuesday. Michigans playoff hopes took a huge hit with the loss, but because it was a double overtime loss on the road to the No. 2 team in the country, its possible the Wolverines dont drop out of the top four entirely this week because their resume still has three wins against top 10 teams and that might still trump Washingtons strength of schedule. Because a two-loss Big Ten champion is now guaranteed, though, it further strengthens Washingtons case if the Huskies can finish as a one-loss Pac-12 champ.Bama still the 1Alabama avoided any scare from Auburn in the Iron Bowl and is the only undefeated Power 5 team remaining heading into championship week. The Tide should remain the selection committees clear-cut No. 1 -- about the only thing thats certain heading into Tuesdays top four. Alabama will face Florida in the SEC title game. Speaking of the Gators, they were almost assuredly eliminated from the playoff even if they upset the Crimson Tide in the SEC championship. Yes, it would be an epic upset, but there are too many other good teams out there with fewer losses and better resumes - including Alabama.How Saturday affects the Big 12s chancesOklahoma and Oklahoma State are off this week, but they got a little bit of a boost from the outcomes in the Big Ten, which is now guaranteed tto have a two-loss conference champion in either Penn State or Wisconsin.dddddddddddd. Its good news for the Big 12 because its champion will then be compared against a two-loss Big Ten champ instead of a one-loss Ohio State or Michigan champ. It would also help, though, if Washington or Clemson lost again.Is Western Michigan in?The highest-ranked Group of 5 champion is guaranteed a spot in a New Years Six bowl, and after No. 19 Boise States loss to Air Force, undefeated and No. 21-ranked Western Michigan should be the committees top-ranked Group of 5 team this week after its 55-35 win over Toledo. No. 20 Houston also lost on Friday, to Memphis. Western Michigan will play Ohio for the first time this season in the MAC championship game at Ford Field in Detroit. If the Broncos win, they should be headed to the Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic.Playoff impact gamesFriday, Nov. 25No. 5 Washington 45, Washington State 17Iowa 40, No. 16 Nebraska 10Saturday, Nov. 26No. 2 Ohio State 30, No. 3 Michigan 27 2OTNo. 1 Alabama 30, No. 13 Auburn 12Notre Dame at No. 12 USC, 3:30 ET (ABC/ESPN App)No. 7 Penn State 45, Michigan State 12No. 6 Wisconsin 31, Minnesota 17No. 22 Utah at No. 9 Colorado, 7:30 ETSouth Carolina at No. 4 Clemson, 7:30 ET (ESPN/ESPN App)PickCenterRooting guideIf youre a fan of one of these teams on the outside of the playoff picture, looking in, heres who you should be rooting for the rest of the day.Oklahoma: South Carolina, Penn StateThe two-loss Big 12 teams didnt get any help from Washington State, which was routed by Washington. A South Carolina upset over one-loss Clemson would be nice, but what the Sooners could really use is Penn State winning the Big Ten, so they would be compared with a fellow two-loss conference champ.Oklahoma State:?South Carolina, Penn StateThe Cowboys are looking at the same scenarios as the Sooners, even if coach Mike Gundy thinks his teams record should be 10-1 considering the controversial finish to the Central Michigan game.USC: Utah, then pure chaosBefore anything else, USC needs Utah to beat Colorado, so the Trojans have a chance to win the Pac-12 title. They needed things to go really crazy, and so far, it hasnt. Washington handled Washington State, so USC waits to watch if South Carolina can knock off Clemson and hope for a ton of Big Ten upsets. Even that might not be enough, but with a second win over the Huskies in the Pac-12 title game, it could get interesting.Brewing Big Ten controversyThere appears to be a caveat in the College Football Playoff selection committees protocol that could keep Ohio State in the top four even if Penn State -- which beat the Buckeyes -- goes on to win the Big Ten.According to the protocol, strength of schedule, head-to-head competition and championships won must be specifically applied as tie-breakers between teams that look similar.Heres the catch: As of right now, the committee doesnt think No. 2 Ohio State and No. 7 Penn State look similar.Does the selection committee see a small margin of separation this week between No. 2 Ohio State and No. 7 Penn State? We do not, selection committee chair Kirby Hocutt told reporters on Tuesday evening.For more, click here.Low: Its time to start thinking about two Big Ten teams in the playoff.Dinich: If the College Football Playoff were today. 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